Update on US long end rates view. YCC or not this is what I think could happen over next 2 years. When I was on the fixed income trading desk at Lehman in '88 we had short end paper that yielded double digits....and given the amount of fiat being printed this could be just the start of the back up in yields
As my view the US10Y inside ABC correction. wave C end at price range 3.714% The correction will be invalid if price close below 3.615 %. we use US10Y as additional tools to analysis the gold. The relation between gold and US10Y is Inverse relationship.
Looks like the bart is a real possibility here. This pattern is famous by now, you all know what it is.
Bill Hackman is right, yields are going higher! There have been discussions as to where the yield is going from here. We believe they are going higher based on the the current re-accumulation schematic. This chart will break out and it's not a bull trap. We could see 5.5%-6.5% rates. NOT-FINANCIAL-ADVICE
Seeing a weekly momentum shift forming, expect major trend change. Couple of scenarios, Economy could break and fed allows inflation to creep up while easing on rates, If they reduce reverse repo rates then yields will drop as money market funds buy 1 yr bills on the open market again. Otherwise they might have to increase rates if inflation continues to weigh...
Surprising news hit the market during the previous week, when rating agency Fitch announced that it has downgraded the US government long-term debt credit rating by one notch to AA+. Market reacted with a negative sentiment. Equity markets went to downside, while Treasury yields went to upside. US 10Y Treasuries moved from 3.9% up to the highest weekly level at...
The Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell spoke again today at a Brookings Institution event. His comments sparked a rally in markets (likely including short covering) that pushed the S&P 500 SP:SPX up about 122 points, or 3.10%, to close at 4080. The Nasdaq 100 NASDAQ:NDX rose 4.58% on the day, closing at 12,030. But the bond market is sending less sanguine...
1Y I see an inverted head and shoulders pattern with RSI in a bullish trend. 5Y RSI is in a bullish trend here as well. Prediction: This inversion has reached a bottom and is going to start moving up.
have a look those three data, they should match to each other
!!!! MACRO CAPITAL FLOWS SHIFTING !!!! What HAPPENS when a 40 YEAR descending trend line BREAKS? #gold #silver #crudeoil 39 year down trend Fed Fund rate is a symptom of longer term yields first time positive 7 year rate of change since 1984
I have shared my primary case on this back in may. This is a public repost for those who are still around. Original: --- This chart is the #1 reason why the global market will drop from here: Debt is going to reach unsustainable levels, banks will deny companies on the brink of bankruptcy loans, commercial real estate will spiral down at speeds never seen...
Do you Remember in March 2020 when Rates were the lowest it had ever been I think since the Entire History of its Trading on the Open Market? Well Nothing is Permanent in this world since Covid lows it has rallied quite a lot. It would certainly be interesting to see what happens next. Lets Discuss the Key Levels to Watch first Right Now it is currently at almost...
Bank of America says the recession and credit crunch could lead to large corporate defaults. Credit strategists at Bank of America note that the fallout from the recession and credit crunch could see $1 trillion in corporate debt eventually become insolvent. This is largely due to the fact that banks have already begun to refuse lending conditions after the...
Caption says enough, 4.8% incoming within a month or two. Powell my guy, you are stuck.
!!! DO NOT FIGHT THIS !!! Your next investment ideas should pay VERY CLOSE ATTENTION to this chart. It is showing you where the next MACRO CAPITAL FLOWS are heading. #uranium #crudeoil paradigm shift event continuation breakout
The yield now trades at the upper boundary of a 2 standard deviation 50-day linear regression trend channel, reflecting a high bullish momentum/approaching overbought condition. This follows the previous oversold condition discussed on 19 July where the yield traded at the lower boundary of the 2SD 50-Day linear regression trend channel.
Hello Traders! The FED's monetary policy is not convincing the markets, but Powell seems very determined to meet his inflation targets. In near term, market seems to want to counter this hawkish monetary policy, but that could change going forward. In short term, yields remain at high levels and I don't exclude that this rally could continue for the last bullish...
Hi everybody , Look at my beautiful analysis about rising 10y bond yield ...lokk at how it affect on us stock market .....follow my posts to be far from hype and euphoria ... but be aware it is going to be close to the significant resistance ... and i think dxy is going to be close to big obstacle as well therefore dont sell off your gold and ..... link of my...